Archive - Political Alpha

How many days will the federal government be shut down this year?

Predictions range from immediate reopening to more than a month.

Oct 1

September 2025

Will the manufacturer of Tylenol sue the Trump administration this year?

RFK Jr gives Kenvue a throbbing headache.

Sep 29

Will Trump sue ABC or Disney before November?

The President has threatened to "test" ABC following Jimmy Kimmel's return to air.

Sep 26

Who will Trump meet with in 2025?

Traders are watching as Trump is expected to meet with Xi Jinping "soon."

Sep 24

How many House seats will Republicans hold after the Midterms?

Classic midterm turnover in the House could upset the new politics.

Sep 22

Democratic sweep in 2025?

An unusual four-way parlay market on Kalshi.

Sep 19

Will the US government stop recommending fluoride in water?

RFK Jr. claims all manner of ailments stem from fluoride.

Sep 17

Will European Union sanction Russia before October?

Russia attempts to communicate with Brussels via drone.

Sep 15

US x Venezuela military engagement by...?

A prediction market in search of a war.

Sep 12

House passes bill to release Epstein files this year?

Base vs. leadership in what many believe is a cover-up.

Sep 10

Government shutdown this year? (Revisited)

Congress will need a bridge over troubled waters.

Sep 8

Who will Trump meet in September?

Looking at the possibility of another Putin-Trump talk.

Sep 5

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