Archive - Political Alpha

When will the National Guard leave Los Angeles?

Quesionable emergencies and Constitutional theater in California.

Jun 13

Will Trump resign before his term is up?

A market that is practically a bond, and a thank you to Polymarket.

Jun 11

Will Trump or Elon apologize first this month?

Or is that a silly question, all around.

Jun 9

Will Elon Musk support the Democrats in 2028?

Elon Musk’s future with politics: is there one after his feud with Trump?

Jun 6

Who will be the Dem NYC Mayor nominee this year?

Power struggles and predictions in New York City's Democratic Mayoral primary

Jun 4

Will Trump end the Federal Reserve?

Assessing the market impact of a potential Fed shutdown under President Trump

Jun 2

May 2025

What will Trump say in his Press Conference with Elon?

Unpacking the high-stakes dynamics of President Trump's and Musk's alliance.

May 30

Will Google be forced to break up?

Navigating legal battles and market sentiment in Big Tech's future

May 28

Who will win the Polish presidential election?

How Poland’s nationalist right will shape the 2025 election.

May 26

When will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill?

Timing the Senate’s vote: Countdown to Trump’s reconciliation bill

May 23

What will Trump say during his Meeting with the President of South Africa?

Redefining global power and influence in the Trump era

May 21

Which countries will have a recession?

Shifting Powers, New Alliances, and the Emerging Economic Battleground of 2025

May 19

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