Will Trump sue ABC or Disney before November?
The President has threatened to "test" ABC following Jimmy Kimmel's return to air.
Trump is rattling sabers at ABC and Disney again, using the Jimmy Kimmel flashpoint and his taste for media combat to make headlines. A Kalshi prediction market is following the drama and asking whether Trump or the administration will file suit against the corporations by November.
Will a suit actually get filed?
Follow the market: Will Trump sue ABC or Disney before November? on Kalshi
Broadcasting Beefs
The market currently trades YES at 33¢, NO at 73¢. Odds are getting yanked around by headline risk more than any other factor. This isn’t about litigation practicalities or the merits.
The rule is simple: a YES hits if either Donald Trump or the federal government sues ABC or The Walt Disney Company before November 1st. That is a tight window for new filings by Trump or any federal agency. And in theory the alleged injury has to be pleadable now, not just politically useful. those factors weigh for NO.
Trump’s playbook is known for aggression though. He files defamation and other suits, sometimes fast, when he sees an opening. He sued the Wall Street Journal in July 2025 over an Epstein-related item, then sued the New York Times in mid-September for $15 billion.
He wrung a payout out of ABC in 2024 after George Stephanopoulos misstated the E. Jean Carroll verdict, with ABC agreeing to pay $15 million and issue a note of regret and transferring the funds within days.