Who will drop out of the NYC Mayoral race?

The Democrats have their champion, but four's a crowd.

In the chaotic aftermath of New York City's stunning Democratic primary upset, where 33-year-old socialist Zohran Mamdani topped establishment favorite Andrew Cuomo by 12 points, prediction markets are weighing who will blink first among the other candidates.

With both Cuomo and embattled incumbent Eric Adams now running as independents against Mamdani, each publicly demanding the other exit the race, traders are wagering real money on whether political egos or electoral math will ultimately prevail.

Follow the market: Who will drop out of the NYC Mayoral race? on Kalshi

The State of Play

The field is set. Democrat Zohran Mamdani won the nomination in July, a shock to the establishment that flipped donor and union pipelines fast. The new contours of the race include Eric Adams and Andrew Cuomo running as independents, plus Republican Curtis Silwa on the GOP line.