Political Alpha

Political Alpha

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Political Alpha
Which party will win the House next year?
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Which party will win the House next year?

The traditional opposition victory at the midterm is overpriced on prediction markets.

May 05, 2025
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Political Alpha
Political Alpha
Which party will win the House next year?
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Notes
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Conventional Midterm Wisdom

The 2026 House midterms could be a major moment showing how things have changed in America under Trump’s second term. The mainstream media and most prediction markets sti…

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