When will a budget reconciliation bill become law?
The hard fight for the U.S. budget is underway in Congress and on prediction markets.
91¢ Says Congress Gets It Done. But Will They?
Markets are pricing in a near-certainty that Congress will pass a budget reconciliation bill before August, with "Yes" offered at 91¢. Is that confidence warranted, or are forecasters overestimating the momentum on Capitol Hill? With potential for a big prediction market upset, opinions are manifold. We’ll filter the noise and find the signal.
Follow the market: When will a budget reconciliation bill become law? on Kalshi.com or Reconciliation bill passed by...? on Polymarket
