What will Trump say in his Press Conference with Elon?
Unpacking the high-stakes dynamics of President Trump's and Musk's alliance.
Trump and Musk: A New Axis, A Rigged Narrative
Today’s market asks which words President Trump will say during his joint press event with Elon Musk. The press conference is scheduled for today at 1:30 EST, so this is last-minute examination.
It might seem like just another press conference, but the stakes are high. Musk is leaving his official job running government cost-cutting (DOGE), but he’s hardly slowing down. In a political system run by personal power and big money, this is where it all comes together: the show, the power, and your chance to profit.
The caveat here is: these markets are crazy. Trump is capable of saying nearly anything at any event, going totally off-script. This one is for those who can tolerate risk.
Follow the market: What will Trump say in his Press Conference with Elon? on Kalshi.com
This Press Conference Isn’t Business as Usual
Musk made big waves at DOGE, cutting government spending and earning love from MAGA supporters, but angering the D.C. bureaucracy and Democrats. Now that he’s stepping down, he’s free to support Trump even more, without being slowed down by government rules . All the chatter from the left about oversight is just political theater. Trump and Musk speak straight to their supporters and set the debate, without worrying about how it looks to college professors or the mainstream media.
What Gets Said: Policy, Power, and Narrative
When Trump is at the mic, you can count on him sticking to the issues that put him back in the White House: his own brand, the MAGA movement, strong policies for American industry (like artificial intelligence, space, cryptocurrency, and free speech), plus the ongoing culture wars.
The official purpose of the press conference is to mark Musk leaving DOGE, so it’s a safe bet they’ll talk about cutting government waste and boosting efficiency.
Musk’s businesses in space and tech, like SpaceX and Starlink, are likely to come up. There’s huge momentum right now for U.S.-led AI and technology growth (think about projects like Stargate and the push to beat China in the tech race).
Trump will almost certainly bring up his “big, beautiful bill,” playing up latest legislative victories while probably needling Musk a bit, since Musk criticized its effect on national debt. And of course, Trump loves to throw punches at Biden, the Democrats, and judges who get in his way.
Bottom line: This press conference is about showing strength, reminding everyone that Trump and Musk are still running the show (even with Musk “officially” out of power), and making fun of the old guard and anyone standing in their way.
Prices This Morning:
Market Prices: Where is the Real Edge?
Democrats (80¢): ⚠️ High chance, but there won’t be much extra profit.
Big Beautiful Bill (74¢): ✅ Trump will say this.
Biden (69¢): ❌ Too situational.
Judge (65¢): ⚠️ Dependent on what is on Trump’s mind today.
SpaceX (62¢): ❌ While the subject is likely to come up, will TRUMP be the one to do it?
Artificial Intelligence / AI (57¢): ❌ Tempting, but again, will TRUMP say it or Elon?
Stock (63¢): ⚠️ Relatively likely, but priced a bit high.
Starlink (38¢): ❌ More of a gamble.
Crime (34¢), Liar (29¢), Woke (28¢): ❌ Overpriced.
Everything under 20¢: ❌ Don’t touch.
Looking at the market pricing, “Democrats” at 80¢ for YES is strongly favored but also priced in. Trump nearly always mentions Democrats as the enemies.
“Big Beautiful Bill” at 74¢ YES is a hit. Recent news shows Trump promoting his own bills and talking about Musk’s complaints. He’ll want to get credit for big legislation and respond to any critics, so odds are high this phrase will come up.
“Biden” at 69¢ YES is very likely but situational. He’s old news, but also a bone Trump won’t let go of. Biden is always Trump’s favorite punching bag at these events, especially when the topic is the economy or government spending.
“Judge” at 65¢ YES is a little less certain, but still a good chance. Trump is always talking about his court battles, “weaponized” justice, and how judges are supposedly in bed with the Democrats.
“Spacex” at 62¢ YES, and “Starlink” at 38¢ YES, are mostly bets on whether Trump will hype up Musk’s business wins. Semi-risky. SpaceX is Musk’s main project, so if he talks about entrepreneurship or space, it will get a mention. But will it be by Trump or Elon? Starlink is less of a sure thing, but could come up if they talk about details.
“Artificial Intelligence / AI” at 57¢ YES is a risk. AI is the biggest buzzword in the tech and business world right now, especially with the huge “Stargate” project just announced by Trump and Musk’s rivals. But Trump himself doesn’t say it that much. Iffy.
“Stock” at 63¢ YES is fairly safe. Trump often brags about market gains and seeing off investor worries, and Musk relies on business confidence.
“Crime” at 34¢ YES is tempting but risky. While it’s a popular attack line, the plan here is to highlight Musk’s work, not go on a crime rant.
“Liar” at 29¢ YES and “Woke” at 28¢ YES are longshots. Trump bashes “woke” culture and calls opponents liars, but unless the topic shifts hard toward the election or culture wars, don’t count on these.
As for “Cybertruck,” “Altman,” “SEC,” and “Wife,” all under 15¢ YES, these are just noise. Unless Trump or Musk suddenly go completely off script, skip these. Musk’s private feuds or celebrity drama isn’t the point today.
Strategic Recommendation: ✅
For a single pick: Buy YES on “Big Beautiful Bill”, it rolls off the tongue and it will roll off Trump’s tongue today.