Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by July 31?
Prediction markets contemplate regime change in Iran.
Waiting for a Shock
The prediction market for “Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by July 31” is crawling at 17¢ YES, after repeated panic-driven surges toward 40¢ - each one whipped up by health rumors or sudden military escalations. The regime hasn’t faced this much instability in years. No clear replacement for Khamenei exists if he’s suddenly incapacitated or killed, while the latest Israel-Iran skirmishes have pounded away at the Iranian military and rattled the elite.
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