House passes bill to release Epstein files this year?
Base vs. leadership in what many believe is a cover-up.
Today’s market asks whether the House will pass a bill to require public release of federal records related to Jeffrey Epstein before year-end. There are open paths: attaching the language to a larger vehicle, or a discharge petition (a procedure to force a floor vote without the Speaker).
Currently, a discharge petition on the Epstein files is within two signatures of forcing a vote, and pressure is on Trump and House Speaker Johnson, who oppose anything Epstein-related.
Follow the market: House passes bill to release Epstein files this year? on Kalshi
Floor Gravity
Kalshi prices the House passing an Epstein files release bill by year end at 62¢. That underprices the procedural math: discharge rules, two imminent Democratic special-election winners pledged to sign, and the political optics of blocking a transparency vote. The path to passage is straightforward once the signatures hit 218.